• Anomalous Warmth Brings Enhanced Fire Threat To North-Central US
  • Troughing and Ridging: Spring in the West, Winter in the East
  • Compact Trough To Bring Moderate Fire; Marginal Severe Threat to South Central Plains
  • Tips for Effective Severe Weather Awareness
  • Amidst Ridging Return, The Cutoffs Take Control!

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uncertainty Post

Subtropical System Steadily Organizing Off the Florida Coast, Likely to Contribute to Heavy Rains in the Mid Atlantic This Week

Hello everyone! The tropical/subtropical disturbance we’ve been watching develop over the past several days has nearly achieved tropical/subtropical depression status. This criteria will be met when surface observations and/or hurricane …
by Jack Sillin/ 05/16/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Weather Discussion Video: Possible Subtropical Storm Formation Near Florida

Hello everyone! Today’s update on possible subtropical storm development near Florida this weekend comes in video format. Be sure to watch for a closer look at how the system is …
by Jack Sillin/ 05/14/2020/ No Comments/

A Subtropical Storm May Develop Off Florida This Weekend, But Poses A Very Limited Threat To The US

Hello everyone! It’s not yet hurricane season in the Atlantic (officially, that begins June 1st) but we do have a tropical disturbance to keep an eye on this weekend. The …
by Jack Sillin/ 05/13/2020/ No Comments/

Heavy Snow Event Expected In North Carolina Today

Hello everyone! Today’s the day that snow is expected to fall across much of North Carolina as a wave of low pressure races east along a frontal boundary draped over …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/20/2020/ No Comments/

An Updated Look at the Prospects for an East Coast Storm This Weekend

Hello everyone! Over the past several days, we’ve been watching the possibility of a coastal storm off the East Coast at some point this weekend. This post will further refine …
by Jack Sillin/ 01/28/2020/ No Comments/

Forecast For Weekend East Coast Storm Remains Uncertain

Hello everyone! All eyes this week will be on the potential for a strong storm to form off the East Coast sometime this weekend. On Saturday, I took a deeper …
by Jack Sillin/ 01/27/2020/ No Comments/

A Closer Look At Ensembles: What Are They, How Do They Work, and Why Do We Need Them?

Hello everyone! With a potential East Coast snowstorm on the horizon about a week out, today seems like a good day to revisit the topic of ensembles. I’ve produced several …
by Jack Sillin/ 01/26/2020/ No Comments/

Assessing The Potential For An East Coast Storm Next Weekend

Hello everyone! If you’ve been perusing long range model guidance, or have scrolled through the twitter/FB feeds of enough meteorologists, over the past couple days you’re probably aware that there …
by Jack Sillin/ 01/25/2020/ No Comments/

First Eastern Snowstorm Of The Season Likely To Impact The Interior Northeast Late This Week

Hello everyone! While flakes have been flying in the Rockies since early September, the East has yet to experience its first snowstorm of the season. That is expected to change …
by Jack Sillin/ 11/05/2019/ No Comments/

TS Karen Forms Near South America, May Pose Long Term Threat To US

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Karen has formed this morning from an area of low pressure located just off the South American coast near the southern end of the Lesser Antilles …
by Jack Sillin/ 09/22/2019/ No Comments/

Tropical Disturbance To Bring Flooding Rains To Texas, Humberto Still Expected To Remain Well Offshore

Hello everyone! We have two tropical entities to watch closely today, with a couple others on the backburner out in the middle of the tropical Atlantic. This post will focus …
by Jack Sillin/ 09/16/2019/ No Comments/

TS Humberto Expected To Intensify As It Moves Well East Of Florida This Weekend

Hello everyone! The system we’ve been watching in the Bahamas over the past few days has developed into TS Humberto after closing off a center of circulation and increasing its …
by Jack Sillin/ 09/14/2019/ No Comments/

PTC 9 Likely To Slowly Develop As It Approaches Florida This Weekend

Hello everyone! Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 is located in the southern Bahamas this morning, and is likely to develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next couple days …
by Jack Sillin/ 09/13/2019/ No Comments/
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Recent Posts

  • Anomalous Warmth Brings Enhanced Fire Threat To North-Central US
  • Troughing and Ridging: Spring in the West, Winter in the East
  • Compact Trough To Bring Moderate Fire; Marginal Severe Threat to South Central Plains
  • Tips for Effective Severe Weather Awareness
  • Amidst Ridging Return, The Cutoffs Take Control!

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