• Anomalous Warmth Brings Enhanced Fire Threat To North-Central US
  • Troughing and Ridging: Spring in the West, Winter in the East
  • Compact Trough To Bring Moderate Fire; Marginal Severe Threat to South Central Plains
  • Tips for Effective Severe Weather Awareness
  • Amidst Ridging Return, The Cutoffs Take Control!

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uncertainty Post

Tropical Storm Isaias Likely To Threaten The East Coast As A Hurricane This Weekend

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Isaias is now interacting with Hispaniola, a key inflection point in the forecast for the system. After attempting to form a low-level center of circulation south …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/30/2020/ No Comments/

92L Becomes PTC 9 East Of Barbados, Likely To Become Isaias Tonight Or Tomorrow

Hello everyone! The system we’ve been watching in the deep tropical Atlantic, known as 92L, has now been dubbed Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) 9 by the NHC. The potential tropical …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/28/2020/ No Comments/

July 27th, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin for the week of 7/27-8/3, 2020. Discussion mostly focuses on Invest 92L and …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/27/2020/ No Comments/

92L Slowly Organizing Over The Deep Tropical Atlantic, Medium-Range Forecast Remains Highly Uncertain

Hello everyone! Since Hanna has moved onshore in Texas and is currently dissipating over Mexico, our attention has shifted to a tropical wave in the central tropical Atlantic (dubbed 92L …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/26/2020/ No Comments/

92L Likely To Develop This Week, May Pose A Long-Term Threat To The US

Hello everyone! With Hurricane Hanna now headed inland over southern Texas, it’s time to begin keeping an eye on the next tropical disturbance that could become a threat to the …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/25/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Atlantic Begins To Heat Up: TD 7 Becomes TS Gonzalo, Next Wave Emerging Off Africa May Pose Longer-Term Threat

Hello everyone! The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season has gotten off to an extremely active start if you count by number of named storms, but certainly not if you count by …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/22/2020/ No Comments/

Invest 98L To Bring Heavy Rain To Parts of the East Coast Tomorrow and Saturday

Hello everyone! While we still don’t have any powerful hurricanes to watch in the Atlantic, a disturbance off the North Carolina coastline (dubbed 98L by the National Hurricane Center) will …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/09/2020/ No Comments/

June 8th, 2020 Tropical Weather Video Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic as of June 8th, 2020. Topics of discussion include the forecast for Tropical …
by Jack Sillin/ 06/08/2020/ 2 Comments/

Cristobal Weakens Over Northern Guatemala, Likely To Arrive In Louisiana On Sunday As A Broad Tropical Storm

Hello everyone! Cristobal has been downgraded to a tropical depression today having lost its 40 mph sustained winds along with most of its thunderstorm activity after it moved inland yesterday. …
by Jack Sillin/ 06/04/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Depression Three Forms In The Southern Gulf Of Mexico

Hello everyone! At 5 PM EDT today (June 1st, 2020), the National Hurricane Center determined that the tropical disturbance emerging in the Gulf of Mexico met the criteria to be …
by Jack Sillin/ 06/01/2020/ 1 Comment/

What Will Happen Once The Remnants Of Tropical Storm Amanda Arrive In The Bay Of Campeche Tomorrow?

Hello everyone! This week, our attention will be focused in the Gulf of Mexico where a tropical disturbance may develop into the season’s first system with the potential to bring …
by Jack Sillin/ 05/31/2020/ No Comments/

Gulf of Mexico Tropical Development Appears More Likely This Week

Hello everyone! Back on Thursday, I mentioned that we might have a system to watch in the Gulf of Mexico for possible tropical development sometime this coming week. We’re still …
by Jack Sillin/ 05/30/2020/ No Comments/

Could We See the Third Tropical Cyclone of the 2020 Season Form In the Gulf of Mexico Next Week?

Hello everyone! While the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season has not yet officially begun (that occurs on June 1st), we’ve already seen two named storms (Arthur and Bertha), and the third …
by Jack Sillin/ 05/28/2020/ No Comments/
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Recent Posts

  • Anomalous Warmth Brings Enhanced Fire Threat To North-Central US
  • Troughing and Ridging: Spring in the West, Winter in the East
  • Compact Trough To Bring Moderate Fire; Marginal Severe Threat to South Central Plains
  • Tips for Effective Severe Weather Awareness
  • Amidst Ridging Return, The Cutoffs Take Control!

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