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A Closer Look At Ensembles: What Are They, How Do They Work, and Why Do We Need Them?

Hello everyone! With a potential East Coast snowstorm on the horizon about a week out, today seems like a good day to revisit the topic of ensembles. I’ve produced several …

by Jack Sillin/ 01/26/2020/ No Comments/

Assessing The Potential For An East Coast Storm Next Weekend

Hello everyone! If you’ve been perusing long range model guidance, or have scrolled through the twitter/FB feeds of enough meteorologists, over the past couple days you’re probably aware that there …

by Jack Sillin/ 01/25/2020/ No Comments/

First Eastern Snowstorm Of The Season Likely To Impact The Interior Northeast Late This Week

Hello everyone! While flakes have been flying in the Rockies since early September, the East has yet to experience its first snowstorm of the season. That is expected to change …

by Jack Sillin/ 11/05/2019/ No Comments/

TS Karen Forms Near South America, May Pose Long Term Threat To US

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Karen has formed this morning from an area of low pressure located just off the South American coast near the southern end of the Lesser Antilles …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/22/2019/ No Comments/

Tropical Disturbance To Bring Flooding Rains To Texas, Humberto Still Expected To Remain Well Offshore

Hello everyone! We have two tropical entities to watch closely today, with a couple others on the backburner out in the middle of the tropical Atlantic. This post will focus …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/16/2019/ No Comments/

TS Humberto Expected To Intensify As It Moves Well East Of Florida This Weekend

Hello everyone! The system we’ve been watching in the Bahamas over the past few days has developed into TS Humberto after closing off a center of circulation and increasing its …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/14/2019/ No Comments/

PTC 9 Likely To Slowly Develop As It Approaches Florida This Weekend

Hello everyone! Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 is located in the southern Bahamas this morning, and is likely to develop into a tropical depression or storm over the next couple days …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/13/2019/ No Comments/

What’s Next In The Tropical Atlantic? Two Disturbances To Watch After Dorian

Hello everyone! Now that Dorian is a post-tropical low, and quickly moving into the far northern reaches of the Atlantic, it’s time to shift our attention back to the deep …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/08/2019/ No Comments/

9-2-19 Major Hurricane Dorian Live Tracking Blog

Hello everyone! This is our tracking blog for Hurricane Dorian as it moves slowly towards the Southeast US coast. This page has been updated many times over the past few …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/02/2019/ 2 Comments/

Category Five Dorian Stalls Over Grand Bahama Island, Will Begin Impacting Florida Tonight

Hello everyone! Dorian remains an extremely intense hurricane this morning with 165 mph sustained winds and higher gusts. The storm has nearly come to a stop over Grand Bahama Island …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/02/2019/ 1 Comment/

Category Four Hurricane Dorian Bearing Down On The Bahamas This Morning, Southeast US Impacts Begin Tomorrow

Hello everyone! Dorian remains an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane this morning as it approaches Grand Abaco Island in the Northwest Bahamas. The storm has maintained 150 mph sustained winds …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/01/2019/ No Comments/

An In-Depth Look At Dorian’s Track Forecast

Hello everyone! Hurricane Dorian remains an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane this morning as it approaches the NW Bahamas. Its track over the next 5 days will determine to what …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/01/2019/ 3 Comments/

Dorian Now A Dangerous Category Four Hurricane, Eventual Track Becoming A Little Clearer

Hello everyone! Hurricane Dorian completed a remarkable rapid intensification cycle yesterday evening with its maximum winds increasing from 110 mph to 140 mph in just 12 hours. The storm has …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/31/2019/ No Comments/