• As Fire Threat Wanes, Pacific Low Incites Heavy Rain Downstream
  • Southern California Fire Weather Abates; Parts of the Deep South Get Soaked
  • An Unusual California Storm Brings Strong Winds to Much of State
  • Critical Fire Risks Persists Through Mid-week, But Relief Is On The Horizon
  • Fire Weather in the West; Lake Effect in the East as High Pressure Dominates

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uncertainty Post

August 31st, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic during the week of 8/31-9/6, 2020. Topics of discussion include a disturbance off the …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/31/2020/ No Comments/

Laura Likely To Threaten The Upper Texas Coastline As A Major Hurricane Tomorrow Night

Hello everyone! Laura has now emerged into the Gulf of Mexico as a strong tropical storm and is taking full advantage of the favorable environment for intensification. The storm is …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/25/2020/ 1 Comment/

August 24th, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin for the week of 8/24-8/31, 2020. Topics of discussion include Tropical Storm Marco, …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/24/2020/ No Comments/

Making Sense Of Model Forecasts For Tropical Storm Laura

Hello everyone! Much attention is being paid to weather model forecasts of Tropical Storm Laura this afternoon as the system looks to threaten the US Gulf Coast as a hurricane …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/23/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Storm Laura Moving Over Hispaniola This Morning, Likely To Make Landfall On The Northwestern Gulf Coast As A Hurricane On Wednesday Or Thursday

Hello everyone! Laura and Marco both remain strong tropical storms this morning as they move towards the US. Marco appears to be attempting to intensify this morning, and is likely …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/23/2020/ 2 Comments/

TS Marco Expected To Make Landfall In Louisiana On Monday As A Hurricane

Hello everyone! Tropical storms Laura and Marco continue their approach to the Gulf of Mexico this evening though each are facing obstacles to further intensification. This morning’s update focused on …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/22/2020/ No Comments/

Laura May Be Attempting To Relocate Its Center Near Puerto Rico This Morning

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Laura is approaching Puerto Rico this morning and remains somewhat disorganized. However, there are signs that the system is attempting to relocate its center under a …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/22/2020/ No Comments/

TD 14 Poised To Intensify In The NW Caribbean While TD 13 Struggles With Dry Air And Shear East Of The Lesser Antilles

Hello everyone! We have two tropical entities to keep an eye on as we approach the weekend: TD 13 and TD 14. Initial thoughts on each system were posted yesterday …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/20/2020/ No Comments/

Invest 97L Likely To Become A Tropical Depression In The Caribbean By This Weekend, May Impact The Gulf Next Week

Hello everyone! The tropical Atlantic is heating up right on schedule as we approach the climatological peak of hurricane season and a wave of favorable conditions passes over the basin. …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/19/2020/ No Comments/

Isaias Trying To Reorganize East Of Florida, Still Expected To Bring Heavy Rain And Gusty Winds To Much Of The East Coast

Hello everyone! The past 24-36 hours have been a period of watching and waiting for Isaias to either succumb to the dry air and shear we’ve seen plaguing it over …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/02/2020/ No Comments/

Isaias Still Struggling With Dry Air And Shear This Morning, Heavy Rain Remains The Primary Threat For The East Coast

Hello everyone! Hurricane Isaias continues moving slowly northwest this morning. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center indicates that the storm’s maximum sustained winds are now up to 85 …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/01/2020/ No Comments/

Hurricane Isaias Expected To Bring Heavy Rain To A Wide Swath Of The East Coast Tomorrow Through Tuesday, Strong Winds And Storm Surge Also Possible

Hello everyone! After days of carefully monitoring Isaias and its surrounding environment for hints about its meteorological future, it’s time to start honing in on expected impacts, especially since Hurricane …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/31/2020/ No Comments/

Hurricane Isaias Struggling With Shear And Dry Air In The Bahamas This Morning

Hello everyone! Yesterday, I took a deep dive into the forecast for Hurricane Isaias, now moving through the southern Bahamas. This post will serve to refine those thoughts and present …
by Jack Sillin/ 07/31/2020/ No Comments/
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Recent Posts

  • As Fire Threat Wanes, Pacific Low Incites Heavy Rain Downstream
  • Southern California Fire Weather Abates; Parts of the Deep South Get Soaked
  • An Unusual California Storm Brings Strong Winds to Much of State
  • Critical Fire Risks Persists Through Mid-week, But Relief Is On The Horizon
  • Fire Weather in the West; Lake Effect in the East as High Pressure Dominates

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