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Cristobal Weakens Over Northern Guatemala, Likely To Arrive In Louisiana On Sunday As A Broad Tropical Storm

Hello everyone! Cristobal has been downgraded to a tropical depression today having lost its 40 mph sustained winds along with most of its thunderstorm activity after it moved inland yesterday. …

by Jack Sillin/ 06/04/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Depression Three Forms In The Southern Gulf Of Mexico

Hello everyone! At 5 PM EDT today (June 1st, 2020), the National Hurricane Center determined that the tropical disturbance emerging in the Gulf of Mexico met the criteria to be …

by Jack Sillin/ 06/01/2020/ No Comments/

What Will Happen Once The Remnants Of Tropical Storm Amanda Arrive In The Bay Of Campeche Tomorrow?

Hello everyone! This week, our attention will be focused in the Gulf of Mexico where a tropical disturbance may develop into the season’s first system with the potential to bring …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/31/2020/ No Comments/

Gulf of Mexico Tropical Development Appears More Likely This Week

Hello everyone! Back on Thursday, I mentioned that we might have a system to watch in the Gulf of Mexico for possible tropical development sometime this coming week. We’re still …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/30/2020/ No Comments/

Could We See the Third Tropical Cyclone of the 2020 Season Form In the Gulf of Mexico Next Week?

Hello everyone! While the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season has not yet officially begun (that occurs on June 1st), we’ve already seen two named storms (Arthur and Bertha), and the third …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/28/2020/ No Comments/

Subtropical System Steadily Organizing Off the Florida Coast, Likely to Contribute to Heavy Rains in the Mid Atlantic This Week

Hello everyone! The tropical/subtropical disturbance we’ve been watching develop over the past several days has nearly achieved tropical/subtropical depression status. This criteria will be met when surface observations and/or hurricane …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/16/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Weather Discussion Video: Possible Subtropical Storm Formation Near Florida

Hello everyone! Today’s update on possible subtropical storm development near Florida this weekend comes in video format. Be sure to watch for a closer look at how the system is …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/14/2020/ No Comments/

A Subtropical Storm May Develop Off Florida This Weekend, But Poses A Very Limited Threat To The US

Hello everyone! It’s not yet hurricane season in the Atlantic (officially, that begins June 1st) but we do have a tropical disturbance to keep an eye on this weekend. The …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/13/2020/ No Comments/

Heavy Snow Event Expected In North Carolina Today

Hello everyone! Today’s the day that snow is expected to fall across much of North Carolina as a wave of low pressure races east along a frontal boundary draped over …

by Jack Sillin/ 02/20/2020/ No Comments/

An Updated Look at the Prospects for an East Coast Storm This Weekend

Hello everyone! Over the past several days, we’ve been watching the possibility of a coastal storm off the East Coast at some point this weekend. This post will further refine …

by Jack Sillin/ 01/28/2020/ No Comments/

Forecast For Weekend East Coast Storm Remains Uncertain

Hello everyone! All eyes this week will be on the potential for a strong storm to form off the East Coast sometime this weekend. On Saturday, I took a deeper …

by Jack Sillin/ 01/27/2020/ No Comments/

A Closer Look At Ensembles: What Are They, How Do They Work, and Why Do We Need Them?

Hello everyone! With a potential East Coast snowstorm on the horizon about a week out, today seems like a good day to revisit the topic of ensembles. I’ve produced several …

by Jack Sillin/ 01/26/2020/ No Comments/

Assessing The Potential For An East Coast Storm Next Weekend

Hello everyone! If you’ve been perusing long range model guidance, or have scrolled through the twitter/FB feeds of enough meteorologists, over the past couple days you’re probably aware that there …

by Jack Sillin/ 01/25/2020/ No Comments/