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All posts by jack

August 31st, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic during the week of 8/31-9/6, 2020. Topics of discussion include a disturbance off the …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/31/2020/ No Comments/

Laura Rapidly Intensifying Into A Major Hurricane This Morning, Landfall Expected Tonight Near The TX/LA Border

Hello everyone! Laura continues to rapidly intensify in the Gulf of Mexico this morning and is well on its way to becoming an extremely dangerous Category Four hurricane by tonight. …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/26/2020/ 3 Comments/

Laura Likely To Threaten The Upper Texas Coastline As A Major Hurricane Tomorrow Night

Hello everyone! Laura has now emerged into the Gulf of Mexico as a strong tropical storm and is taking full advantage of the favorable environment for intensification. The storm is …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/25/2020/ 1 Comment/

August 24th, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin for the week of 8/24-8/31, 2020. Topics of discussion include Tropical Storm Marco, …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/24/2020/ No Comments/

Making Sense Of Model Forecasts For Tropical Storm Laura

Hello everyone! Much attention is being paid to weather model forecasts of Tropical Storm Laura this afternoon as the system looks to threaten the US Gulf Coast as a hurricane …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/23/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Storm Laura Moving Over Hispaniola This Morning, Likely To Make Landfall On The Northwestern Gulf Coast As A Hurricane On Wednesday Or Thursday

Hello everyone! Laura and Marco both remain strong tropical storms this morning as they move towards the US. Marco appears to be attempting to intensify this morning, and is likely …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/23/2020/ 2 Comments/

TS Marco Expected To Make Landfall In Louisiana On Monday As A Hurricane

Hello everyone! Tropical storms Laura and Marco continue their approach to the Gulf of Mexico this evening though each are facing obstacles to further intensification. This morning’s update focused on …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/22/2020/ No Comments/

Laura May Be Attempting To Relocate Its Center Near Puerto Rico This Morning

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Laura is approaching Puerto Rico this morning and remains somewhat disorganized. However, there are signs that the system is attempting to relocate its center under a …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/22/2020/ No Comments/

TD 13 Becomes TS Laura East Of The Lesser Antilles, TD 14 Starts Making A Run At Becoming TS Marco In The NW Caribbean

Hello everyone! Both TD 14 and now-TS Laura have been struggling for a variety of reasons today, but both are showing signs that they are trying to intensify this evening. …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/21/2020/ No Comments/

How Might TD13 And TD 14 Interact In The Gulf Of Mexico And What Is The Fujiwhara Effect?

Hello everyone! TD 13 and TD 14 are still moving towards the Gulf of Mexico this morning. The official NHC forecast, as well as most model guidance, suggests that both …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/21/2020/ 1 Comment/

TD 14 Poised To Intensify In The NW Caribbean While TD 13 Struggles With Dry Air And Shear East Of The Lesser Antilles

Hello everyone! We have two tropical entities to keep an eye on as we approach the weekend: TD 13 and TD 14. Initial thoughts on each system were posted yesterday …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/20/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Cyclones 101: Glossary Of Common Terms

Hello everyone! With Hurricane Season now in full swing, I figured it would be helpful to add a resource to the tropical cyclones 101 series that takes a brief look …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/20/2020/ No Comments/

Invest 98L Close To Tropical Depression Status East Of The Lesser Antilles

Hello everyone! The tropical Atlantic is heating up right on schedule as we approach the climatological peak of hurricane season and a wave of favorable conditions passes over the basin. …
by Jack Sillin/ 08/19/2020/ No Comments/
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