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An In-Depth Look At Dorian’s Track Forecast

Hello everyone! Hurricane Dorian remains an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane this morning as it approaches the NW Bahamas. Its track over the next 5 days will determine to what …

by Jack Sillin/ 09/01/2019/ 3 Comments/

Dynamic Tropopause

Hello everyone! There are lots of parameters that are used for forecasting the weather, some of which are intuitive (surface temperature, wind speed, etc.), and some of which are far …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/08/2019/ No Comments/

Advection: What Is It And Why Is It Important?

Hello everyone! In discussions of large-scale weather phenomenon, particularly in the mid latitudes, advection is a concept that gets brought up a lot. This post will be a quick explainer …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/07/2019/ No Comments/

An Introduction To Atmospheric Rivers

Hello everyone! Atmospheric rivers play an important role in some of the most impactful weather seen on the West Coast during the wintertime. They can bring feet of rain and …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/05/2019/ No Comments/

The Science Behind The July 31st Microburst In Boston MA

Hello everyone! On July 31st, 2019, a microburst impacted parts of downtown Boston MA as well as nearby Logan Airport, bringing winds in excess of 70 mph to a very …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/04/2019/ 2 Comments/

Frontogenesis: What It Is And Why It’s Important To Forecasting Mid-Latitude Precipitation

Hello everyone! I know it’s the middle of summer, but between all the snow events, I didn’t get around to writing this blog when it would’ve been most timely. Thus …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/04/2019/ No Comments/

Sea Breezes: What Are They, How Do They Form, And Why Are They Important?

Hello everyone! Sea breezes are features that you could practically set your watch to in places like Florida, and they make regular appearances all the way up the East Coast …

by Jack Sillin/ 06/20/2019/ 2 Comments/

5/17/19 Severe Weather Discussion

Hello everyone! Today’s severe weather discussion comes in video form, and can be viewed in the player below. There are two setups of primary interest in the Plains today, each …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/17/2019/ No Comments/

Intensifying Cyclone To Bring Severe Weather And A Major Blizzard To The Plains Today And Tomorrow

Hello everyone! All eyes this morning are on the Plains where a powerful storm system will take shape today. The impacts from this system will be wide-ranging, and will include …

by Jack Sillin/ 04/10/2019/ No Comments/

Severe Storms Possible In Oklahoma And Adjacent Parts Of The Southern Plains Today

Hello everyone! The nor’easter we’ve been following for the past few days is now departing off the East Coast and no longer poses a threat to the US. It will, …

by Jack Sillin/ 04/03/2019/ No Comments/

Intensifying Nor’easter Putting On A Dynamical Show Off The Carolina Coast This Afternoon

Hello everyone! Instead of my usual forward-looking forecast based posts, I want to take a more current (or, by the time you’re reading this, slightly retrospective) look at the ongoing …

by Jack Sillin/ 04/02/2019/ No Comments/

Severe Storms Expected In Parts Of The Mid-South Today

Hello everyone! As we move into the spring season, our focus begins shifting from winter storms to severe weather outbreaks. While today’s severe storms are unlikely to be widespread or …

by Jack Sillin/ 03/24/2019/ No Comments/

Severe Storms Tonight Kick Off Several Days Of High-Impact Weather

Hello everyone! An intense storm system will develop over the Plains tonight and tomorrow, featuring the full range of high-impact weather. The first aspect of the storm will be severe …

by Jack Sillin/ 03/12/2019/ No Comments/