Forecasts and Analysis – Page 4

Forecasts and Analysis Posts

Henri, Now a Hurricane, Approaches Northeast

Always a fighter, Henri has rebounded from decoupling northerly and then westerly shear to become the third hurricane of the Atlantic season. The storm is now lurching north on a …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/21/2021/ No Comments/

Henri Threatens New England With First Hurricane Landfall in a Generation

Tropical storm Henri churns over open water between Bermuda and Florida today, slowly moving a bit north of west. There is increasing confidence that the storm could be New England’s …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/20/2021/ No Comments/

Resilient Henri Eyes Storm-Weary Northeast

The Northeast is forced to jump from hurricane threat to hurricane threat at a pace unusual for the region this weekend. Fred’s remnants, and the associated PRE, have just finished …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/19/2021/ No Comments/

Remnants of Fred Bring Flooding, Tornado Threat North

Whoever proclaimed “Fred is Dead” this past weekend when Fred degraded to an open wave has apparently angered the storm. Fred seems to have taken that proclamation personally and is …

by Meghan Gulledge/ 08/18/2021/ No Comments/

Wide Swath of Dangerous Flooding Possible

When Fred made landfall as a strong tropical storm in Florida yesterday afternoon, bringing gusty winds, a few feet of storm surge, and freshwater flooding to Michael-battered Mexico Beach, its …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/17/2021/ No Comments/

Fred: Definitely Not Dead

So, about that Tropical Storm Fred: what a comeback! When we last discussed Fred on Friday, it was a badly disorganized open wave and, though reorganization was discussed, not too …

by Meghan Gulledge/ 08/16/2021/ No Comments/

Grace Intensifies Overnight. What’s Next?

Tropical depression 7 has intensified into Grace, the seventh named storm of the accelerating 2021 Atlantic hurricane season. The delineation comes as the storm’s convection, impressive since day 1, takes …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/14/2021/ No Comments/

A Wounded Fred Limps Onward, Brings US Impacts

Tropical Depression Fred is in rough shape this morning. Link It seems that Fred had a little too much fun passing through the Caribbean and is now simply a naked …

by Meghan Gulledge/ 08/13/2021/ No Comments/

Fred Barely Hanging On, Could Pose Heavy Rain Threat

Tropical depression Fred, the sixth-earliest sixth named storm in Atlantic history, is struggling this morning. A combination of atmospheric shear associated with a diffuse, double-barreled upper level low over the …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/12/2021/ No Comments/

Feeling Hot – Sweltering Temperatures For Much of the US

The heat is on once again for both the Northeast and the Northwest. Link A rather broad ridge with a maxima over each of the aforementioned regions is in place …

by Meghan Gulledge/ 08/10/2021/ No Comments/

The Atlantic is Stirring. Will it Soon Awaken?

What if I told you there’s a climatological indicator on the sub-seasonal scale associated with a huge increase in hurricane frequency, intensity, and societal impact? That it almost always coexists …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/07/2021/ No Comments/

Severe Weather Possible for the Corn Belt Friday and Saturday

Two rounds of severe weather are expected for the Corn Belt region. Link Current water vapor imagery shows an upper level trough currently over this region and another, stronger, short-wave …

by Meghan Gulledge/ 08/06/2021/ No Comments/

Wildfires Explode Across Parched West Coast

The mega-drought hounding the West has chased the region into a series of increasingly catastrophic wildfire seasons over the last five years. In a fiery, catastrophic culmination, the increasingly intense …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 08/05/2021/ No Comments/