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Tropics Post

Invest 95L Becomes TD 11, Poses No Threat To The US

Hello everyone! A tropical disturbance way out in the deep tropical Atlantic (about half way between Barbados and Africa) has become the eleventh tropical depression of the Atlantic season after …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/11/2020/ No Comments/

August 10th, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin during the week of 8/10-8/17, 2020. Topics of discussion include Invest 95L, an …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/10/2020/ No Comments/

August 3rd, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin during the week of August 3-10, 2020. Topics of discussion include Invest 94L …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/03/2020/ No Comments/

Isaias Trying To Reorganize East Of Florida, Still Expected To Bring Heavy Rain And Gusty Winds To Much Of The East Coast

Hello everyone! The past 24-36 hours have been a period of watching and waiting for Isaias to either succumb to the dry air and shear we’ve seen plaguing it over …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/02/2020/ No Comments/

Isaias Still Struggling With Dry Air And Shear This Morning, Heavy Rain Remains The Primary Threat For The East Coast

Hello everyone! Hurricane Isaias continues moving slowly northwest this morning. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center indicates that the storm’s maximum sustained winds are now up to 85 …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/01/2020/ No Comments/

Hurricane Isaias Struggling With Shear And Dry Air In The Bahamas This Morning

Hello everyone! Yesterday, I took a deep dive into the forecast for Hurricane Isaias, now moving through the southern Bahamas. This post will serve to refine those thoughts and present …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/31/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Storm Isaias Likely To Threaten The East Coast As A Hurricane This Weekend

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Isaias is now interacting with Hispaniola, a key inflection point in the forecast for the system. After attempting to form a low-level center of circulation south …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/30/2020/ No Comments/

92L Becomes PTC 9 East Of Barbados, Likely To Become Isaias Tonight Or Tomorrow

Hello everyone! The system we’ve been watching in the deep tropical Atlantic, known as 92L, has now been dubbed Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) 9 by the NHC. The potential tropical …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/28/2020/ No Comments/

92L Slowly Organizing Over The Deep Tropical Atlantic, Medium-Range Forecast Remains Highly Uncertain

Hello everyone! Since Hanna has moved onshore in Texas and is currently dissipating over Mexico, our attention has shifted to a tropical wave in the central tropical Atlantic (dubbed 92L …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/26/2020/ No Comments/

92L Likely To Develop This Week, May Pose A Long-Term Threat To The US

Hello everyone! With Hurricane Hanna now headed inland over southern Texas, it’s time to begin keeping an eye on the next tropical disturbance that could become a threat to the …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/25/2020/ No Comments/

Hurricane Hanna Continues To Intensify As It Approaches The Southern Texas Coastline

Hello everyone! This morning’s update will be focused on Hurricane Hanna which continues to intensify as it grinds closer to the south Texas coastline this morning. The storm has about …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/25/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Storm Hanna Intensifying En Route To Texas, May Become A Hurricane By Tomorrow

Hello everyone! In my forecast update yesterday, I discussed a few reasons why Tropical Storm Hanna (then Tropical Depression Eight) might end up stronger than originally anticipated. Factors contributing to …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/24/2020/ No Comments/

TD 8 Forms In The Gulf Of Mexico, Gonzalo Struggling With Dry Air East Of The Windward Islands

Hello everyone! Today’s tropical update will discuss newly-minted TD 8 in the Gulf of Mexico (which formed from the disturbance 91L we were watching yesterday) and Gonzalo which is currently …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/23/2020/ No Comments/