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Laura Likely To Threaten The Upper Texas Coastline As A Major Hurricane Tomorrow Night

Hello everyone! Laura has now emerged into the Gulf of Mexico as a strong tropical storm and is taking full advantage of the favorable environment for intensification. The storm is …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/25/2020/ No Comments/

TS Marco Expected To Make Landfall In Louisiana On Monday As A Hurricane

Hello everyone! Tropical storms Laura and Marco continue their approach to the Gulf of Mexico this evening though each are facing obstacles to further intensification. This morning’s update focused on …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/22/2020/ No Comments/

Isaias Trying To Reorganize East Of Florida, Still Expected To Bring Heavy Rain And Gusty Winds To Much Of The East Coast

Hello everyone! The past 24-36 hours have been a period of watching and waiting for Isaias to either succumb to the dry air and shear we’ve seen plaguing it over …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/02/2020/ No Comments/

Isaias Still Struggling With Dry Air And Shear This Morning, Heavy Rain Remains The Primary Threat For The East Coast

Hello everyone! Hurricane Isaias continues moving slowly northwest this morning. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center indicates that the storm’s maximum sustained winds are now up to 85 …

by Jack Sillin/ 08/01/2020/ No Comments/

Hurricane Isaias Expected To Bring Heavy Rain To A Wide Swath Of The East Coast Tomorrow Through Tuesday, Strong Winds And Storm Surge Also Possible

Hello everyone! After days of carefully monitoring Isaias and its surrounding environment for hints about its meteorological future, it’s time to start honing in on expected impacts, especially since Hurricane …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/31/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Storm Isaias Likely To Threaten The East Coast As A Hurricane This Weekend

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Isaias is now interacting with Hispaniola, a key inflection point in the forecast for the system. After attempting to form a low-level center of circulation south …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/30/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Storm Hanna Intensifying En Route To Texas, May Become A Hurricane By Tomorrow

Hello everyone! In my forecast update yesterday, I discussed a few reasons why Tropical Storm Hanna (then Tropical Depression Eight) might end up stronger than originally anticipated. Factors contributing to …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/24/2020/ No Comments/

TD 8 Forms In The Gulf Of Mexico, Gonzalo Struggling With Dry Air East Of The Windward Islands

Hello everyone! Today’s tropical update will discuss newly-minted TD 8 in the Gulf of Mexico (which formed from the disturbance 91L we were watching yesterday) and Gonzalo which is currently …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/23/2020/ No Comments/

Tropical Atlantic Begins To Heat Up: Invest 91L Likely To Bring Heavy Rain To Texas This Week

Hello everyone! The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season has gotten off to an extremely active start if you count by number of named storms, but certainly not if you count by …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/22/2020/ No Comments/

July 20th, 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion

In this video, forecaster Jack Sillin discusses the forecast for tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic for the week of 7/20-7/27, 2020. Topics of discussion include a tropical disturbance near …

by Jack Sillin/ 07/20/2020/ No Comments/

Lopsided Cristobal Drifts Towards The Gulf Coast Today, Will Bring Heavy Rain, Storm Surge, And Gusty Winds To Much Of The Northern Gulf Coast

Hello everyone! Tropical Storm Cristobal is drifting north through the Gulf of Mexico today en route to landfall along the Louisiana coastline sometime later in the day tomorrow. The general …

by Jack Sillin/ 06/06/2020/ No Comments/

Cristobal Weakens Over Northern Guatemala, Likely To Arrive In Louisiana On Sunday As A Broad Tropical Storm

Hello everyone! Cristobal has been downgraded to a tropical depression today having lost its 40 mph sustained winds along with most of its thunderstorm activity after it moved inland yesterday. …

by Jack Sillin/ 06/04/2020/ No Comments/

Widespread Heavy Rain Expected In The Mid Atlantic This Week As An Upper-Level Low Meanders Slowly Over The Ohio and Tennessee Valleys

Hello everyone! While the threat from tropical storm Arthur is relatively minimal (click here for the latest forecast), the risk of widespread flash flooding from an upper level low unrelated …

by Jack Sillin/ 05/17/2020/ No Comments/