• Velocity Potential: Subseasonal Forecasting Using a Hovmoller Diagram
  • A Little Bit of Mischief in the Gulf
  • Precipitable Water ("PWAT"): What Is It And How Can It Be Used In Forecasting?
  • Cooler, Drier, Wetter, Hotter: A Look at the Upcoming Pattern Flip
  • A Summer Cooldown on Tap for the Northeast & Great Lakes Regions

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Noteworthy Weather Events Posts

The Grip of a Megadrought, Part 2: Lurching Through Disaster

It’s amazing what two months of a persistent atmospheric pattern can do in an environment as fragile as the West’s. In 2017, two months of repetitive, fanning atmospheric river events …
by Guest Author/ 06/14/2021/ No Comments/

The Grip of a Megadrought, Part 1: A Catastrophe Crawls To Life

Some weather disasters strike with a suddenness rivaled only by their ferocity. They are tornadoes, flash floods, derechos, blizzards and hurricanes; they lash out all at once, pummeling mankind from …
by Guest Author/ 06/12/2021/ No Comments/

The Springfield Tornado, Ten Years Later: A Retrospective Analysis

Every May, there are a few days that the Plains of the central US see an astonishing feat of nature. As sinking troughs incite low-level mass removal, brisk southerly flow …
by Guest Author/ 06/01/2021/ No Comments/

An Odd Supercell Outbreak, 23 Years Ago

Tornado season has cooled down some for the time being, with a giant midlevel trough planted over the central US that’s keeping much of the CONUS unseasonably chilly. The only …
by Guest Author/ 05/11/2021/ No Comments/

Active May Pattern Continues with Eastern US Severe, Flooding

A northeastward ejecting southern stream jet streak amidst complex flow aloft will continue a multi-day onslaught of widespread activity, with additional flooding, severe thunderstorms, and tornadoes all probable across much …
by Guest Author/ 05/04/2021/ No Comments/

Remembering the Superoutbreak

Ten years ago this morning, across the southeast, the air surely felt counterintuitively both heavy and light. After all, it certainly is not every day that winds blow to 25 …
by Guest Author/ 04/27/2021/ No Comments/

A First Look at Tuesday’s Potential

The first severe thunderstorm outbreak of what looks to be quite the active pattern is in its late stages over the southeastern US at present, with numerous cells and line …
by Guest Author/ 04/24/2021/ No Comments/

Category Five Equivalent Surigae Intensifies Over Pacific

Typhoon Surigae has rapidly intensified amidst impressive atmospheric and oceanic conditions overnight, and will remain a very powerful storm through the near-term as it churns northeast through the Pacific. While …
by Guest Author/ 04/17/2021/ No Comments/

Dual Thunderstorm Threat Possible Today

As an anticyclone pours into the middle of America today, sufficient overlapping of moisture and kinematics necessary to sustain severe thunderstorms will be difficult to come by. However, two regions …
by Guest Author/ 04/15/2021/ No Comments/

Complex Severe Storm Setup Tomorrow

This morning, a large zone of cutoff midlevel energy is continuing to pivot north towards the Great Lakes, with a subtle upstream shortwave digging into the peripheral jet. Attendant surface …
by Guest Author/ 04/08/2021/ No Comments/

Severe Thunderstorm Threat Targets Central US

A tightly coiled midlevel cyclone will bowl towards the Mississippi over the next couple of days, inciting a threat for severe thunderstorms and even a few tornadoes from parts of …
by Guest Author/ 04/06/2021/ No Comments/

Say It Ain’t Snow: Winter Eyes Northeast Return

Almost every year, the Northeast is visited by some degree of a “false spring”, in which temperatures make a prolonged leap into the 60ºFs in March or April and trick …
by Guest Author/ 03/30/2021/ No Comments/

Southeast Severe Storm Blitz Set to Continue Today

No rest for the weary yet as parts of the Southeast, including some still recovering from tornado onslaughts on the 25th and 17th, stare down yet another potentially volatile severe …
by Guest Author/ 03/27/2021/ No Comments/
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Recent Posts

  • Velocity Potential: Subseasonal Forecasting Using a Hovmoller Diagram
  • A Little Bit of Mischief in the Gulf
  • Precipitable Water (“PWAT”): What Is It And How Can It Be Used In Forecasting?
  • Cooler, Drier, Wetter, Hotter: A Look at the Upcoming Pattern Flip
  • A Summer Cooldown on Tap for the Northeast & Great Lakes Regions

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