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Unusual October Tornado Risk Targets East Great Lakes

When the seasons clash, they rarely do so peacefully. A large, intense, and slow-moving longwave has inflicted a highly polarized regime across the United States, with a cold West and …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 10/15/2021/ No Comments/

Slow-Moving Front to Bring Severe Threat to Corn Belt

The same unseasonable trough that brought rain to the Pacific Northwest and snow to parts of the Rockies will slide towards the Midwest today, bringing medium-impact weather to a new …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 09/20/2021/ No Comments/

Intense Severe Weather Possible in EML-Overrun Northeast

I’ve long mused that the single biggest factor differentiating severe storms in the Northeast from those in the Central Plains is the latter’s proximity to the source of a seemingly …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 09/15/2021/ No Comments/

Substantial Midwest Severe Threat Possible Tomorrow

Hey guys! A short blog today about what could be a fairly significant severe thunderstorm event in the corn belt. While summer may bring to mind regular thunderstorms, the seasonal …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 07/13/2021/ No Comments/

Storms Threaten Central US With Severe Weather, Flash Flooding

A potent summertime pattern will bring a plethora of hazardous weather to the central US today, with risks that include widespread severe thunderstorms and potentially significant flooding. A belt of …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 07/10/2021/ No Comments/

Tropical Cyclones 101: Glossary Of Common Terms

Hi, As hurricane season is starting, we thought, you might be interested in a recap of this awesome guide from last year that helps you navigate some of the most …

by weathermodels Admin/ 06/08/2021/ No Comments/

Expansive Central US Severe Threat Today

This morning sees an expansive low level moisture plume having overspread much of the south-central and south-eastern US, being overspread from the west by midlevel flow exceeding 40 knots. This …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 05/27/2021/ No Comments/

HSLC Setup to Promote Central US Severe Chances

While a pattern synoptically evident for central US severe weather is still around a week out, the ingredients could come together today for a high shear-low CAPE setup in the …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 05/13/2021/ No Comments/

Swath of Severe Storms Likely In Central Plains

The atmosphere above the CONUS this afternoon is a mess of midlevel jet dynamics, as an expansive midlevel low over eastern Canada interacts with a negatively tilted longwave diving into …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 05/08/2021/ No Comments/

Severe Storms Threaten Mid-South

Severe thunderstorms always require the same ingredients- shear, lift, instability, and moisture. Surely, there are synoptically evident ways to get all of these in the same place- a sharp south-central US …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 05/06/2021/ No Comments/

Active May Pattern Continues with Eastern US Severe, Flooding

A northeastward ejecting southern stream jet streak amidst complex flow aloft will continue a multi-day onslaught of widespread activity, with additional flooding, severe thunderstorms, and tornadoes all probable across much …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 05/04/2021/ No Comments/

Severe Weather Returns as May Enters

Today is May 1st, which may as well be a national holiday to us weather folk. Climatologically, May means a few things, most of which are pretty agreeably awesome. The …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 05/01/2021/ No Comments/

Complex Severe Storm Setup Tomorrow

This morning, a large zone of cutoff midlevel energy is continuing to pivot north towards the Great Lakes, with a subtle upstream shortwave digging into the peripheral jet. Attendant surface …

by Jacob Feuerstein/ 04/08/2021/ No Comments/