• An Extended Period of Heat Settles In
  • Velocity Potential: Subseasonal Forecasting Using a Hovmoller Diagram
  • A Little Bit of Mischief in the Gulf
  • Precipitable Water ("PWAT"): What Is It And How Can It Be Used In Forecasting?
  • Cooler, Drier, Wetter, Hotter: A Look at the Upcoming Pattern Flip

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Severe Storms Expected In The Southern Plains This Week As Spring Begins

Hello everyone! In a welcome (for some anyway) sign of the changing seasons, severe thunderstorms will develop in the southern Plains each afternoon this week ahead of an upper level …
by Jack Sillin/ 03/16/2020/ No Comments/

Ocean Storm To Bring Light Snow To Parts Of The Northeast On Its Way Out To Sea

Hello everyone! A powerful ocean storm will develop off the East Coast today, but it will move just far enough to the east that most areas will escape heavy snow. …
by Jack Sillin/ 03/06/2020/ No Comments/

Severe Storms Possible in Parts of the Mid Atlantic Today

Hello everyone! Unseasonably warm temperatures across much of the Eastern Seaboard combined with an approaching cold front and strong upper level trough will provide a favorable environment for severe thunderstorms …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/26/2020/ No Comments/

Heavy Snow Event Expected In North Carolina Today

Hello everyone! Today’s the day that snow is expected to fall across much of North Carolina as a wave of low pressure races east along a frontal boundary draped over …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/20/2020/ No Comments/

Snow Likely In North Carolina on Thursday

Hello everyone! As the week of wet weather in the Southeast continues, it appears as though one of the disturbances that will bring a round of heavy rain to parts …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/19/2020/ No Comments/

Wet Pattern To Continue Across The Southeast This Week

Hello everyone! This week will feature a continuation of the wet pattern that has been in place across the Southeast for the past 180+ days. While it’s not clear that …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/17/2020/ No Comments/

Storm Dennis Could Challenge All-Time Record For Strongest North Atlantic Storm

Hello everyone! While not expressly related to US weather, the event set to take place over the North Atlantic this weekend is too unique not to mention. An area of …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/13/2020/ No Comments/

Major Flash Flooding Possible in Parts of the Southeast Today

Hello everyone! A significant flash flooding event is expected across parts of the Southeast today as several rounds of thunderstorms develop along a nearly-stationary frontal boundary. While rainfall totals aren’t …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/10/2020/ No Comments/

Intense Squall Line Expected To Move Through The Southeast Today

Hello everyone! Today will feature the development of an intense squall line in the Southeast as the storm we’ve been following all week begins its final departure. Storms are already …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/06/2020/ No Comments/

Opening Act of Multi-Stage Central/Eastern Storm To Bring Wintry Weather To Texas and Oklahoma Tomorrow

Hello everyone! A complex storm system is developing in the Plains and Gulf of Mexico this morning. As the system slowly gets its act together today and especially tomorrow, it …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/04/2020/ No Comments/

Several Days Of Active Severe Weather Expected This Week Across The South

Hello everyone! After a fairly quiet weekend, the next system to watch for regionally significant weather is now developing over the Plains. While heavy snow is falling in parts of …
by Jack Sillin/ 02/03/2020/ No Comments/

Weekend Storm Headed Too Far East For Major US Impacts

Hello everyone! After a long several days of closely following model guidance and observations, it’s now quite clear that the storm forming off the East Coast this weekend is headed …
by Jack Sillin/ 01/30/2020/ No Comments/

An Updated Look at the Prospects for an East Coast Storm This Weekend

Hello everyone! Over the past several days, we’ve been watching the possibility of a coastal storm off the East Coast at some point this weekend. This post will further refine …
by Jack Sillin/ 01/28/2020/ No Comments/
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Recent Posts

  • An Extended Period of Heat Settles In
  • Velocity Potential: Subseasonal Forecasting Using a Hovmoller Diagram
  • A Little Bit of Mischief in the Gulf
  • Precipitable Water (“PWAT”): What Is It And How Can It Be Used In Forecasting?
  • Cooler, Drier, Wetter, Hotter: A Look at the Upcoming Pattern Flip

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